Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.319674 1.504768 1.706288 1.941969 2.210050 2.505521 2.855944
2025-02-09 1.062643 1.322064 1.629514 2.020713 2.505347 3.086267 3.836017
2025-02-16 0.904142 1.194895 1.560317 2.053227 2.701007 3.523855 4.649763
2025-02-23 0.767500 1.065891 1.459430 2.016325 2.784517 3.807841 5.276798
2025-03-02 0.670534 0.972228 1.387124 1.999187 2.879729 4.102102 5.931275
2025-03-09 0.601067 0.905784 1.340829 2.006971 3.002039 4.435288 6.661253
2025-03-16 0.543835 0.848972 1.299789 2.013995 3.118168 4.763051 7.405965
2025-03-23 0.498798 0.804555 1.270847 2.033254 3.250075 5.120196 8.221016
2025-03-30 0.446269 0.742266 1.207309 1.990528 3.278452 5.316586 8.797127
2025-04-06 0.401175 0.686885 1.148556 1.948132 3.300529 5.500539 9.363498
2025-04-13 0.357484 0.629183 1.080094 1.882069 3.275336 5.602006 9.796787
2025-04-20 0.350121 0.632516 1.113173 1.989827 3.551911 6.225955 11.169075
2025-04-27 0.342719 0.635608 1.146956 2.103477 3.851840 6.920241 12.736683
2025-05-04 0.330505 0.628863 1.162837 2.186643 4.105076 7.554738 14.256141
2025-05-11 0.312400 0.609272 1.153435 2.221888 4.272478 8.047043 15.554731
2025-05-18 0.286030 0.571347 1.106572 2.181965 4.294265 8.271461 16.365011
2025-05-25 0.265048 0.541810 1.072716 2.163426 4.354280 8.570512 17.341800
2025-06-01 0.249257 0.521024 1.053714 2.171846 4.466802 8.977479 18.563125
2025-06-08 0.234758 0.501464 1.035298 2.179445 4.577539 9.388368 19.825200
2025-06-15 0.222837 0.486129 1.023963 2.200279 4.716519 9.865675 21.262819
2025-06-22 0.205384 0.457388 0.982518 2.154058 4.710519 10.044685 22.085327
2025-06-29 0.189520 0.430637 0.942940 2.108195 4.700850 10.214079 22.899397
2025-07-06 0.172842 0.400553 0.893666 2.036727 4.628852 10.244180 23.408699